Predicting anxiety, depression, PTSD and psychotic disorders after traumatic brain injury in civilian adults: A systematic review of multivariable prognostic models
Injury. 2025 Dec 11;57(2):112959. doi: 10.1016/j.injury.2025.112959. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Psychiatric disorders are common after traumatic brain injury, impeding recovery and increasing health and social costs internationally. clinicians caring for patients with TBI need an evidence base to support assessment of risk of and intervention to reduce psychiatric morbidity.
METHOD: We systematically searched for original studies published in English reporting development of multivariate models predicting anxiety, depression, PTSD and psychotic disorders in civilian adults at least six months after injury. The electronic search was conducted on 12 August 2024. Authors independently screened records, assessed study quality, and extracted data for descriptive analysis and narrative synthesis.
RESULTS: We included 34 studies presenting 47 multivariable models predicting psychiatric disorder six to 120 months after TBI of varying severity. Study samples, ranging from 43 to 207,354, were predominantly male and Caucasian/White and aged 30-45 years. Models inconsistently included demographic, psychosocial and injury-related variables with mixed results. Female sex, psychiatric history, race/ethnicity, physical health and assault/violent mechanism of injury were statistically significant two-thirds of models in which they were included. Infrequently included variables including coping style and intoxication at injury were strongly associated with disorder.
DISCUSSION: Faced with inconsistency in evidence we recommend that clinicians assess risk of suboptimal outcome broadly, asking not whether a given patient is at risk of a specific psychiatric condition but of any psychiatric disturbance following TBI. Patients with a psychiatric history and/or injured violently should be monitored but assessment must encompass biopsychosocial circumstances. Employment of a conceptual model of psychiatric disorder would support development of a cohesive evidence base.
PMID:41494479 | DOI:10.1016/j.injury.2025.112959












